“I recommend just betting to maximize EV.”
It’s really important for me to know the inner workings of his strategies and commitments in order to emulate him precisely! Thanks!
what the fuck is he trying to achieve here
I like how the first post is just an exercise in telling nobody whatsoever that he got in ahead of most people with the right answer, blissfully unaware of the upshot that all this implies is he’s the kind of dipshit who sees discourse online and immediately hits the prediction markets to make the easiest contrarian take this side of “maybe we shouldn’t suck up to this Hitler asshole”
judging by EY’s reply in the thread, he’s doing his best to convince us he’s terrible with money:
You’re associating those quotes with events that didn’t happen. I didn’t buy that high or sell that low; the thing I was explaining was not that. (It was, among other things, a real-money trade that I thought had executed but hadn’t.)
fuck, I’ve known day traders who spent less time justifying their losses than this, and all those folks did all day was coke
If you don’t care how I managed to overcomplicate my personal betting life, skip this.
I should have listened. Is the whole thing about him cashing out too late, or whatever you do in prediction markets idk?
Nonepistemic [allegedly] [assuming this is ontologically a thing]
nitter link (I really should start automating these)
doing agi god’s work!
